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Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2022 at 9pm UK
Saputo Stadium
Atlanta United

Montreal
2 - 1
Atlanta

Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Atlanta United

 Historically, Atlanta have never gone goalless in any MLS encounter against their Saturday adversaries, but without Martinez, they are not the same team, and we do not expect them to create a ton of opportunities against a side who have played a much stingier defensive game in recent weeks. It seems as though being eliminated from the CCL was a blessing in disguise for Montreal, who have settled into quite a groove, limiting the number of opportunities of their opponents while their best players have shown up when needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
42.36%25.54%32.1%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22%56.78%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.58%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.36%
    Atlanta United 32.1%
    Draw 25.54%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.1%

How you voted: Montreal vs Atlanta

CF Montreal
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Atlanta United
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 12am
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Sunusi (78'), Camacho (87'), Choiniere (90+4')
Mulraney (48')
Walkes (53')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-2
Atlanta
Toye (53'), Camacho (63')
Struna (19'), Mihailovic (86')
Camacho (73'), Wanyama (82')
Martinez (65'), Moreno (76' pen.)
Campbell (27'), Damm (90'), Moreno (90+6')
Martinez (82')
May 16, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Montreal
Moreno (90+4')
Sosa (17')

Camacho (19'), Wanyama (29'), Struna (90')
Aug 27, 2020 12am
Montreal
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113
> Full Version


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