| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 42.36% | 25.54% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 54.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% | 48.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% | 56.78% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% | 64.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.1% |