| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 61.1% | 21.91% | 16.98% |
| Both teams to score 49.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% | 47.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% | 69.84% |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% | 15.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.34% | 43.66% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% | 41.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% | 77.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 6.21% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.09% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.91% | 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.98% |