| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 39.62% | 25.38% | 34.99% |
| Both teams to score 56.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% | 47.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.21% | 69.79% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% | 23.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% | 57.89% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% | 26.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% | 61.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.99% |