Major League Soccer

May 15, 2022 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Gazdag (47')
Carranza (52'), Andres Martinez (65'), McGlynn (76'), Bedoya (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luquinhas (66')
Nealis (25'), Fernandez (53'), Tolkin (90+4')
Nealis (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Charlotte FC vs. NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
39.27%	28.08%	32.65%

Both teams to score 47.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.14%

58.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.64%

79.36%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81%

29.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87%

65.13%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61%

33.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98%

70.02%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 39.26%

New York Red Bulls 32.64%

Draw 28.08%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.26%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.64%