| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 56.42% | 24.51% | 19.07% |
| Both teams to score 45.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% | 19.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.83% | 43.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% | 79.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.13% Other @ 3.76% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.07% |