Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.