| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 43.46% | 24.99% | 31.56% |
| Both teams to score 56.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% | 46.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% | 21.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% | 54.58% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% | 63.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.56% |