| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
| 51.59% | 25.52% | 22.89% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.48% | 54.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% | 39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% | 75.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.89% |