| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | DC United | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 12 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 12 | -4 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Dallas |
| 64.52% | 19.19% | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 57.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.45% | 36.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% | 10.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% | 72.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 7.32% 3-0 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-2 @ 2.12% 5-1 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 5.08% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.47% Total : 16.3% |