Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 49.72% | 23.53% | 26.75% |
| Both teams to score 58.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% | 42.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% | 65.39% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% | 17.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% | 47.86% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% | 29.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% | 65.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.72% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.75% |