| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.97% | 27.52% | 30.51% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% | 57.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% | 78.19% |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% | 62.31% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% | 34.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% | 70.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.97% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.51% |