Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 49.54% | 25.37% | 25.09% |
| Both teams to score 50.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% | 73.82% |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% | 35.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% | 72.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.09% |