| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 61.5% | 20.41% | 18.08% |
| Both teams to score 56.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% | 39.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.74% | 12.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% | 35.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% | 71.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 6.94% 3-0 @ 6.63% 4-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.85% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-1 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.08% |