| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | DC United | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 11 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for DC United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for DC United.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
| 25.64% | 24.71% | 49.65% |
| Both teams to score 53.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% | 49.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% | 71.09% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% | 70.16% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% | 51.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.65% |