Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Feb 26, 2022 at 11pm UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
5 - 0
Cincinnati

Dominguez (2', 61'), Ring (14'), Driussi (43'), Kann (90+3' og.)
Keller (33'), Valencia (74')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Cruz (12'), Kubo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
57.7%	21.62%	20.68%

Both teams to score 57.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.28%

40.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.89%

63.1%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11%

13.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.7%

41.3%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65%

33.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03%

69.97%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 57.7%

FC Cincinnati 20.68%

Draw 21.62%

Austin FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.22% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.23% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.62%	1-2 @ 5.51% 0-1 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.68%