Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
| 61.91% | 19.44% | 18.65% |
| Both teams to score 61.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.58% | 33.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.8% | 55.21% |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.56% | 10.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.97% | 34.04% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 7.29% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-2 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 3.52% 4-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.86% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-2 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.47% Total : 18.65% |