Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 21, 2021 at 3.30am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
4 - 0
Austin

Lopez (47'), Kikanovic (53', 54'), Wondolowski (59', 60'), Fierro (85', 85')
Cardoso (25'), Lopez (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romana (39'), Ring (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
58.42%	22.63%	18.95%

Both teams to score 51.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42%

47.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.79%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03%

15.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.73%

45.27%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9%

39.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18%

75.82%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 58.41%

Austin FC 18.95%

Draw 22.62%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 58.41%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.87% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.95%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Austin

San Jose Earthquakes

55.6%

Draw

33.3%

Austin FC

11.1%