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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland
2 - 0
Earthquakes
Chara (34'), Asprilla (55')
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
53.3%21.88%24.82%
Both teams to score 62.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04%36.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86%59.14%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01%14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.49%41.52%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74%63.27%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 53.3%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.82%
    Draw 21.88%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 6.31%
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 3.88%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-1 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers
80.8%
Draw
7.7%
San Jose Earthquakes
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 23
Portland
1-1
Earthquakes
Mora (45+6')
Lopez (24')
May 16, 2021 3am
Oct 12, 2020 3am
Gameweek 18
Portland
3-0
Earthquakes
Williamson (18'), Farfan (29')
Beason (69'), Rios (79')
Sep 20, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 11
Earthquakes
1-6
Portland
Fierro (44')
Valeri (25' pen., 57'), Ebobisse (27'), Chara (70'), Cascante (85'), Niezgoda (87')
Sep 17, 2020 2.30am
Gameweek 7
Earthquakes
1-1
Portland
Qazaishvili (76')
Jungwirth (31'), Yueill (90+1')
Chara (33')
Zuparic (84'), Paredes (85')
rhs 2.0
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