Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42

Oct 28, 2021 at 3am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
2 - 0
Earthquakes

Chara (34'), Asprilla (55')
Paredes (20'), Chara (27'), Asprilla (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (19'), Remedi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
53.3%	21.88%	24.82%

Both teams to score 62.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04%

36.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86%

59.14%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01%

14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.49%

41.52%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3%

27.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74%

63.27%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 53.3%

San Jose Earthquakes 24.82%

Draw 21.88%

Portland Timbers	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.1% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.3%	1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 6.28% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.68% Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Portland vs Earthquakes

Portland Timbers

80.8%

Draw

7.7%

San Jose Earthquakes

11.5%