Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39

Oct 16, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
66.75%	18.17%	15.08%

Both teams to score 58.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.87%

34.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.99%

56.02%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.53%

9.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.2%

31.8%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49%

35.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72%

72.28%

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 66.75%

San Jose Earthquakes 15.08%

Draw 18.17%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 7.6% 3-0 @ 7.34% 4-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.93% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 2.11% 5-0 @ 2.04% 5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.75%	1-1 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.36% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.17%	1-2 @ 4.25% 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.35% Total : 15.08%