Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.