| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Orlando City |
| 56.32% | 23.26% | 20.42% |
| Both teams to score 51.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% | 48.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% | 70.42% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% | 47.02% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.07% | 37.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.3% | 74.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.42% |