Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.