| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 50.12% | 25.99% | 23.89% |
| Both teams to score 47.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% | 55.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% | 76.62% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% | 55.56% |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% | 38.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% | 75.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.89% |