Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.