Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
0 - 2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
63.38%	20.08%	16.54%

Both teams to score 54.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64%

40.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27%

62.74%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32%

37.68%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61%

74.39%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 63.38%

Philadelphia Union 16.54%

Draw 20.08%

New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.38%	1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.08%	1-2 @ 4.6% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.54%