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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Providence Park
New York City

Portland
1 - 1
NY City

Mora (90+4')
van Rankin (59'), Chara (90')
FT
(aet)
Castellanos (41')
Rodriguez (80'), Johnson (88'), Medina (90+1')
NY City win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Portland Timbers 2-1 New York City FC

This is a tough match to call, as each side has found another gear in the playoffs, and they both possess plenty of quality in the final third, but the Timbers get a slight edge, having been to this point before, so they are unlikely to be overwhelmed by the moment, plus they will have the home crowd behind them. Portland are also looking a little sharper in all facets of the game, and their depth and quick counter-attacking play should be enough to help them claim their second MLS title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%).

Result
Portland TimbersDrawNew York City FC
40.98%24.68%34.35%
Both teams to score 58.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52%44.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15%66.86%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06%59.94%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 40.98%
    New York City FC 34.35%
    Draw 24.68%
Portland TimbersDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Portland vs NY City

Portland Timbers
59.6%
Draw
17.0%
New York City FC
23.4%
47
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 3.30am
NY City
1-3
Portland
Medina (27' pen.)
Ring (44'), Medina (45+1'), Moralez (85'), Callens (90+5')
Blanco (43'), Valeri (65'), Joya (76')
Williamson (37'), Mabiala (79')
Jul 7, 2019 11.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Chanot (81'), Ofori (88')
Blanco (14')
Dielna (40'), Blanco (44'), Farfan (44'), Asprilla (45'), Valentin (45')
Apr 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 9
Portland
3-0
NY City
Blanco (26'), Adi (38'), Mabiala (66')

Ring (63'), Callens (92')
Sep 9, 2017 10.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Sweat (71'), Moralez (88')
Valeri (44')
Guzman (23'), Blanco (27'), Chara (76'), Valeri (90')
May 16, 2016 12.30am
Portland
1-2
NY City
Adi (55')
Zemanski (38')
Villa (12'), McNamara (65')
Allen (24'), Saunders (87')
rhs 2.0
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