Major League Soccer

Nov 21, 2021 at 10.30pm UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Mabiala (43'), Blanco (47', 66')
Blanco (19'), Mabiala (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fragapane (11')
Trapp (32'), Gasper (40'), Boxall (73'), Fragapane (85'), Rosales (86'), Dibassy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
51.92%	22.84%	25.24%

Both teams to score 59.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9%

41.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.51%

63.49%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08%

15.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83%

45.17%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39%

29.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35%

65.65%

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 51.92%

Minnesota United 25.24%

Draw 22.84%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 5.94% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 6.42% 0-1 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Portland vs Minnesota Utd

Portland Timbers

93.8%

Draw

0.0%

Minnesota United

6.3%