Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 51.87% | 22.88% | 25.24% |
| Both teams to score 59.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% | 16.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% | 29.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% | 65.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-1 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.24% |