Philadelphia

2 - 0

Earthquakes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.