Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 47.71% | 26.15% | 26.13% |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.77% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.48% | 56.51% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% | 72.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.97% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.13% |