We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 New York City FC
The Galaxy should score plenty of goals throughout this season, but we are leaning towards New York in this one as they have played in their share of competitive fixtures heading into this MLS opener.
New York can match the offensive depth of LA while being a little more compact defensively, and they should not be as rusty as the Galaxy coming into this encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.