Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York City FC |
| 30.54% | 24.01% | 45.45% |
| Both teams to score 59.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% | 42.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% | 19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% | 50.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 5.11% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.45% |