| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 72.96% | 17.46% | 9.58% |
| Both teams to score 42.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% | 67.66% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.04% | 10.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.81% | 35.19% |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.19% | 51.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.12% | 85.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-0 @ 13.88% 1-0 @ 12.55% 3-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.73% 4-0 @ 5.66% 4-1 @ 3.72% 5-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.22% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 8.25% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 3% Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.46% | 0-1 @ 3.73% 1-2 @ 2.71% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.58% |