Major League Soccer

May 1, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Shaqiri (17' pen.)
Czichos (37'), Navarro (45+1'), Duran (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klimala (75', 90+1' pen.)
Fletcher (15'), Tolkin (27'), Klimala (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Charlotte FC vs. NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New York Red Bulls
39.44%	27.01%	33.55%

Both teams to score 50.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.35%

54.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02%

75.97%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92%

27.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.44%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37%

30.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13%

66.87%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 39.44%

New York Red Bulls 33.55%

Draw 27.01%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.06% Total : 39.44%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.55%