Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.