| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 50.45% | 24.52% | 25.03% |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% | 70.82% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% | 19.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% | 51.09% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% | 33.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% | 70.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.03% |