| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
| 38.7% | 25.8% | 35.49% |
| Both teams to score 54.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% | 49.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% | 71.4% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% | 59.7% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.49% |