| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 52.68% | 23.96% | 23.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% | 47.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% | 70.06% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% | 18.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% | 49.09% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% | 34.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% | 71.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.67% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.36% |