Major League Soccer

Apr 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
1 - 2
Austin

Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
40.65%	26%	33.36%

Both teams to score 53.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45%

50.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53%

72.47%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45%

24.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97%

59.03%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27%

28.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44%

64.56%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 40.65%

Austin FC 33.36%

Draw 25.99%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.65%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.36%