Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.