| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 56.56% | 22.31% | 21.12% |
| Both teams to score 55.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% | 43.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% | 65.68% |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% | 15.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% | 43.67% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% | 34.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.92% | 71.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.09% Total : 21.13% |