Major League Soccer

Apr 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 2
Austin

Ebobisse (70' pen., 71' pen.), Cowell (72')
Marie (31'), Calvo (79'), Bouda (85'), Bouda (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Urruti (11'), Driussi (52' pen., 53' pen.)
Fagundez (42'), Pereira (72'), Redes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
54.08%	23.42%	22.5%

Both teams to score 53.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52%

46.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24%

68.76%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71%

47.29%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.13%

34.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.39%

71.61%

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.08%

Austin FC 22.5%

Draw 23.41%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.77% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.86% Total : 54.08%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.5%