| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austin FC | 12 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 12 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Dallas | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | New England Revolution | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Inter Miami | 12 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 12 | -5 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 57.17% | 22.81% | 20.02% |
| Both teams to score 52.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% | 69.15% |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% | 16.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.39% | 45.61% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% | 37.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.66% | 74.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 6% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.94% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.02% |