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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2022 at 9pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
Inter Miami

Austin
5 - 1
Inter Miami

Driussi (22', 51'), Cascante (27'), Finlay (66', 90')
Lima (29'), Urruti (38'), Fagundez (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Campana (54')
Mota (25'), Yedlin (42'), Gregore (76'), Higuain (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Inter Miami vs. NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Inter Miami

Even though they faced perhaps the weakest defensive unit in the league on opening day, the Verde-and-Black look vastly improved in the final third and have thrived on their home field. Despite showing tremendous discipline in their opener, there seems to be a lack of depth in the Miami attack, with Higuain having to do a lot of work himself. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
57.17%22.81%20.02%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1%46.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85%69.15%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84%16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.33%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 57.17%
    Inter Miami 20.02%
    Draw 22.81%
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 6%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.94%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: Austin vs Inter Miami

Austin FC
86.7%
Draw
3.3%
Inter Miami
10.0%
30
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati833287112
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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