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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2022 at 9pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
Inter Miami

Austin
5 - 1
Inter Miami

Driussi (22', 51'), Cascante (27'), Finlay (66', 90')
Lima (29'), Urruti (38'), Fagundez (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Campana (54')
Mota (25'), Yedlin (42'), Gregore (76'), Higuain (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Inter Miami vs. NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Inter Miami

Even though they faced perhaps the weakest defensive unit in the league on opening day, the Verde-and-Black look vastly improved in the final third and have thrived on their home field. Despite showing tremendous discipline in their opener, there seems to be a lack of depth in the Miami attack, with Higuain having to do a lot of work himself. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
57.17%22.81%20.02%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.1%46.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85%69.15%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84%16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.33%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 57.17%
    Inter Miami 20.02%
    Draw 22.81%
Austin FCDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 6%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-2 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 10.83%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.94%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 2.91%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.02%

How you voted: Austin vs Inter Miami

Austin FC
86.7%
Draw
3.3%
Inter Miami
10.0%
30
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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