Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.