Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 47.92% | 25% | 27.09% |
| Both teams to score 53.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.86% | 49.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.79% | 71.21% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% | 20.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% | 53.05% |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% | 32.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% | 68.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.09% |