| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 44.04% | 26.41% | 29.54% |
| Both teams to score 50.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% | 53.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.96% | 75.04% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% | 24.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% | 58.49% |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% | 32.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.54% |