| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 31.62% | 23.9% | 44.47% |
| Both teams to score 60.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.23% | 41.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% | 64.16% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% | 25.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% | 19.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.41% | 50.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.69% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.47% |