Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.