| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 60.03% ( | 23.86% ( | 16.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( | 77.44% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( | 18.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( | 49.86% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.9% ( | 83.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 14.95% ( 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-2 @ 3.43% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 16.12% |