Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.