| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 15 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 61.37% ( | 22.17% ( | 16.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( | 49.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( | 71.61% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( | 15.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.29% ( | 44.71% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% ( | 43.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% ( | 79.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.36% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.45% |