Major League Soccer

May 23, 2022 at 3am UK

Jeld-Wen Field

Portland
0 - 2
Philadelphia

Chara (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gazdag (5'), Santos (48')
Harriel (18'), Carranza (81'), Burke (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	14	9	25
2	New York Red Bulls	14	7	23
3	CF Montreal	14	4	23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Philadelphia Union
51.59% ( 0.77)	24.24% ( 0.06)	24.16% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.71% (

-0.97)

48.29% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.56% (

-0.9)

70.44% (

0.9)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

-0.07)

18.71% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93% (

-0.12)

50.06% (

0.12)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

-1.23)

34.38% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

-1.34)

71.09% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 51.59%

Philadelphia Union 24.16%

Draw 24.24%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.16%