Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.