| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 25.25% | 22.98% | 51.77% |
| Both teams to score 58.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% | 41.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% | 29.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% | 66.04% |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% | 16.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% | 45.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 6.42% 1-0 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.25% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.77% |