| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 32.08% | 26.63% | 41.28% |
| Both teams to score 51.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.02% |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% | 67.35% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.28% |