Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.